Murder rates are often used as a proxy for violent crime rates, in part because murder is kind of among the worst violent crimes imaginable. As such, people tend to look at murder rates to get a bead on just how bad things are with crime in general.
And according to your anti-gunner on the streets, the Bruen decision was going to make everything worse. After all, with so many wannabe cowboys walking around with guns that they had no “good cause” to carry, how could it not?
Our friends over at The Truth About Guns, they looked at the impact of Bruen on the murder rates.
If you poke around on the internet, other anti-gun groups made the same kind of prediction. But to paraphrase Mark Twain, what the gun control industry thought they knew just wasn’t so.
Recent data from the FBI (even though it’s being run by the Biden Administration now) shows, once again, that lowering the restrictions on gun ownership and carry wasn’t the disaster it was predicted to be.
According to The Hill . . .
The FBI’s annual crime report, released Monday, found that violent crime in the U.S. last year decreased while property crime is on the rise. Overall, violent crime dropped 1.7 percent, including a 6.1 percent decrease in murder and non-negligent manslaughter.
Overall, the rate of violent crime in 2022 — 380.7 per 100,000 people — is slightly below what was recorded before the pandemic in 2019 when it was 380.8 per 100,000 people. While violent crime is on a downward trend, property crime remains on the rise, with a 7.1 percent increase in 2022.
What seems fairly obvious here is that criminals are now more afraid to victimize people directly. There’s more of a chance that their victims can and will fight back.
Now, Cam covered the FBI data when it came out.
Those wanting to be really critical would probably point out that the Bruen decision came out in June and that data is for the whole year. It doesn’t necessarily track that Bruen didn’t drive the murder rate up. After all, it might have been on pace to be even lower.
Of course, that argument is probably very wrong. After all, if that were the case, what we’d see this year is an uptick in the murder rate. While it’s still a ways from the end of the year, the trends just aren’t supporting the idea that Bruen would lead to an increase in homicides.
It’s possible something could happen to change all that, but it wouldn’t be likely to be anything to do with Bruen.
So it sure looks like all the scaremongering in the wake of the Supreme Court’s decision didn’t come to fruition and isn’t likely to. Moreover, if it were to do so, it would have already.
What I expect to hear from the gun control crowd, though, is that the only reason it didn’t was because of the concealed carry killer laws passed by states like California and New York, like the somehow many anything safer.
If so, they’re idiots. After all, that last link there? It includes murder data from states like Ohio and Nebraska that passed no such measure, and those rates are also trending downward.
This is another nail in the coffin of gun control, but don’t expect this to show up at a mainstream media outlet anytime soon. They wouldn’t want to hurt their precious narrative.